Category: Blog

2025 U.S. Tax Legislation Forecast: What to Expect

2025 U.S. Tax Legislation ForecastAs 2025 unfolds, U.S. tax policy is poised for significant shifts, particularly with a new Republican administration under President Donald Trump. The year ahead will likely see a range of tax reforms, largely driven by the GOP’s objectives and campaign promises. In this article, we’ll explore the major tax policy trends, legislative developments, and administration changes that may shape U.S. tax law in 2025.

The Impact of Supreme Court Decisions

2024 also saw two major Supreme Court decisions with significant tax implications. In the Moore case, the Court ruled narrowly on the issue of wealth taxation, leaving open the possibility of revisiting the question in the future. While wealth tax proposals had gained some traction among Democrats, the Court’s decision, combined with the political climate, suggests that such proposals are unlikely to gain much momentum under the new administration.

The Loper Bright decision, which questioned the deference given to government regulations, could have far-reaching effects on tax policy. The ruling makes it more difficult for agencies like the IRS to issue regulations without clear legislative guidance, potentially leading to more legal challenges to IRS regulations and shifting the balance of power between lawmakers and regulatory agencies.

2025: A New Republican Agenda

With a Republican administration taking office in 2025, tax policy is expected to shift dramatically. President Trump, along with a Republican-controlled Senate and House, will likely push for several key changes to tax law.

One of the primary objectives will be to extend provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) that are set to expire. This includes individual tax cuts, corporate rate reductions and changes to the state and local tax (SALT) deduction cap. The extension of other expiring provisions involving lifetime gift and estate tax exemptions, AMT, child tax credits, and the mortgage interest deduction may also be on the table. Additionally, the GOP is expected to explore new tax cuts, with some lawmakers proposing measures like eliminating taxes on tips, which was promoted during Trump’s election campaign.

On the corporate side, there may be discussions about lowering the effective tax rate through credits and incentives rather than direct reductions to the statutory corporate tax rate. There also could be movement on tax expensing for research and development, as well as other measures to incentivize business investment.

Potential Revenue-Raising Measures

Despite the tax cuts expected to dominate the agenda, there may be some revenue-raising measures included in the GOP’s tax proposals. The focus on reducing deficits could lead to efforts to cut some of the green credits in the Inflation Reduction Act, although these cuts are unlikely to raise significant revenue. There also may be attempts to tighten international tax rules from the TCJA to generate more revenue.

President Trump has also proposed replacing individual income taxes with increases in tariffs, implementing a universal 20 percent tariff across the board, and implementing an additional 50 percent tariff on imports from China.

IRS Funding and Administration Changes

Under the new administration, the IRS is expected to face significant cuts, particularly in its enforcement budget. The $80 billion allocated to the agency in recent years, which was intended to improve taxpayer services and combat tax evasion, is likely to be rolled back. Republicans have expressed strong opposition to the IRS’ expanded powers and are expected to push for a reallocation of those funds toward customer service rather than enforcement.

Additionally, the new administration may replace current IRS Commissioner Daniel Werfel, who was appointed during the Biden administration. Trump could nominate a new commissioner, and if this happens, it could spark further debates over the direction of the IRS in the coming years.

Conclusion

2025 promises to be a dynamic year for U.S. tax policy, with significant changes expected under the new Republican administration. Key issues to watch include the fate of the TCJA’s expiring provisions, potential new tax cuts, and ongoing debates over IRS funding and regulations. As the administration works to implement its agenda, there will likely be contentious discussions and compromises on Capitol Hill, setting the stage for a new era of tax policy in the United States.

Analyzing Return on Ad Spending

What is Return on Ad SpendingReturn on Ad Spend (ROAS) is one way to help advertising and marketing professionals and investors analyze how well promotions do (or don’t) produce sales. It helps advertisers develop data based on their campaigns’ revenue production (or lack thereof). Understanding how this metric is calculated and how to analyze ROAS is essential for businesses to monitor and increase their advertising performance.

Known as a Key Performance Indicator (KPI), ROAS determines how much sales are generated per dollar invested on advertising outlays. It separates advertising costs from the company’s costs, and it focuses on:

1. The differences between advertising income and advertisement expenses

2. Assisting companies with creating efficient budgets

3. Identifying unprofitable campaigns

How ROAS is calculated:

Return on Ad Spend (ROAS) = Revenue generated from ad campaign/Total advertising costs for a specific campaign

The revenue generated from an ad campaign is the revenue immediately assignable to promotions utilizing a tracking tool.

Total advertising costs for a specific campaign are expenses explicitly connected to the advertising platform.

The resulting calculation determines the business’ return on ad spend, giving owners and managers an idea of how well (or not) ad spending impacts the company’s sales. It similarly enables business owners to reconcile the company’s budgeted advertising costs against growing sales metrics. The following hypothetical breakdown shows what a positive scenario looks like:

A ROAS of 10 = $10 of revenue was earned for every $1 spent on ads. This would translate into:

Total Ad Spend: $10,000

Revenue Generated: $100,000

ROAS = $10

ROAS = 10:1

Important considerations when calculating this include factoring in merchant expenses, costs for digital content production, and costs incurred from media platforms. It’s also important to consider that it’s not always cut-and-dry as to how and what specific ads convert potential customers into paying customers. Assigning the exact ad platform or campaign is a common problem when determining the exact ROAS.

Credit analysis conducted by lenders evaluates ROAS to determine the sales ability of companies seeking loans, especially with promotion-centric companies. The higher the ROAS, the less risk there is and the more reliable the revenue from each campaign. For merger and acquisition professionals, ROAS trends offer insight into a target company’s sustainability. It helps determine if a company’s advertising campaigns can sustain themselves and keep generating future growth.

It’s equally important to see how ROAS compares against other metrics. While ROAS focuses on revenue generated per dollar spent, the advertising-to-sales ratio looks at the total proportion of sales driven by advertising efforts. Similarly, while ROAS measures the revenue per ad spend, return on investment analyzes the comprehensive profitability for the complete level of marketing expenses – not exclusively advertising. While ROAS is a short-term measure on instant sales, Lifetime Value looks at the customer’s history with the company and the entire revenue the company earns from the relationship.

While this metric is helpful for many professionals, it’s important to ensure that only necessary data is included and customer conversion is monitored precisely in order to get the best output.

Rules of the Roth

Rules of Roth IRAWith a Roth IRA, the owner can make limited contributions each year. In 2025, the limit is $7,000; $8,000 if age 50 or older. Only people who earn less than $150,000 (single filers) or under $236,000 (married filing jointly) can make a full Roth IRA contribution. While contributions do not qualify for a tax deduction, earnings are not taxable once the account has been open for five years. Contributions, which were previously taxed as income, can be withdrawn at any time.

Once you open and contribute to a Roth IRA, the five-year countdown begins before you can take any earnings out tax-free. However, the holding period is actually measured from Jan. 1 of the year you made the first contribution.

For example, if you opened your Roth IRA on Dec. 31, 2024, the holding period backs up to Jan. 1, 2024. Therefore, your holding period is technically only four years instead of five to avoid paying taxes on earnings.

However, it gets even better because you are allowed to make a Roth contribution for the prior tax year up until tax day in April. That means if you open a Roth in April 2025 and designate your contribution for 2024, your holding period is shortened by another four months.

This is why it’s important to open a Roth as soon as possible, even if you cannot contribute a lot of money in the near future. It makes a great strategy for a high school or college student with job earnings to at least open a Roth for future use. While there is no upfront tax deduction, you may withdraw contributions penalty and tax-free at any time – which makes it ideal as both a liquid emergency account as well as long-term savings.

As for withdrawing earnings, the rules are trickier. As far as the IRS is concerned, contributions are withdrawn first and then earnings. Note that when earnings are withdrawn before age 59½, the amount is subject to both taxes and a 10 percent penalty, but there are exceptions that waive the penalty. For example, if your account is less than five years old, you can still withdraw earnings (penalty-free but still subject to taxes) for the following purposes:

  • To help pay for a first-time home purchase (up to $10,000)
  • To pay for college
  • To pay certain emergency expenses
  • To pay for expenses in connection with a federally qualified disaster
  • To pay expenses related to a birth or adoption
  • To pay for unreimbursed medical expenses or health insurance if unemployed
  • If you become disabled or are a survivor of domestic abuse

If your account is older than five years, you can avoid both taxes and the penalty if the funds are used to help pay for a first-time home purchase (up to $10,000) or if you become disabled.

After age 59½, there are no taxes and no penalties for any money withdrawn from a Roth IRA for any reason.

Multiple Roths

The same five-year holding period applies to all the Roths you own, with the clock starting at the first contribution to your first Roth. This means that if five years after the date you open your first Roth, you open a new Roth and contribute a bunch of income, you won’t have to wait another five years to tap those earnings tax-free. This perk does not apply to a Roth 401(k) account, which maintains a separate five-year holding period.

Conversion Benefits

When you convert a traditional IRA or 401(k) to a Roth (assuming your plan allows in-service withdrawals or in-plan conversions), you must pay income taxes in the year the money is converted. However, there are some very good reasons to convert:

  • Tax-Free Income – By converting assets when you’re still working, you can pay the taxes owed with current income, but from that point on, the Roth IRA will grow tax-free. This is particularly helpful in diversifying your tax liability during retirement if you have other income sources (e.g., pension, brokerage account, Social Security).
  • Eliminate RMDs – If you continue working into your 70s, you may continue contributing to your Roth IRA, and assets converted from a 401(k) or traditional IRA are no longer subject to required minimum distributions. This way, your full account balance has the opportunity to continue growing for later retirement and/or for your heirs.

Be aware that converting a taxable retirement account to a Roth IRA begins its own five-year timetable, so convert long before you need to begin withdrawals.

5 Tips on How to Track Monthly Expenses

5 Tips on How to Track Monthly ExpensesKeeping tabs on what you spend isn’t hard. It just has to become a habit. But here’s the good news: Studies show that it only takes an average of 66 days to form a habit. A little over two months. With these easy ways to track your monthly expenses, you’ll be a regular money manager in no time.

Add Up Your Monthly Income

We’re talking about your regular paychecks – and extras from any side hustles. Have irregular income? No problem. Look at what you’ve made in the past few months and list the lowest amount as this month’s planned income. When you know how much you have to work with, you’ll be ready to dive in.

Calculate Your Monthly Expenses

Open up your bank account and start dividing your expenses into buckets, e.g., rent/mortgage, food, utilities, etc. The numbers may surprise you. Think about your needs and wants. What’s really important? What can you live without? Where can you cut? Or if you have a surplus, where should this money go? Regardless, here’s a good way to categorize your income:

  •  Four walls (food, utilities, shelter/housing, and transportation)
  • Other essentials (insurance, debt, childcare, etc.)
  • Extras (entertainment, restaurants, etc.)
  • Giving (10 percent of your income)
  • Savings (varies based on your resources)

Create a Budget

Now that you know how much you make and what you spend, do a little mat,h and you’ll have a sum total. Dave Ramsey recommends a zero-based budget, where you give every dollar a job to do, such as spending, saving, or giving. But in these categories, you’ll want to get more detailed. For instance, under Food, you might list Dining Out and Groceries. When you get specific, it’s easier to track where you spend.

Track Any Money You Earn and Spend

When you get paid, enter the amount. When you spend, enter the amount. This repetition contributes to forming a habit. If you need a bit more immediacy and structure, get a handy budget app for your phone. Mint (it’s free!), YNAB (You Need a Budget), and Simplifi are a few of many others. It might well be a fail-safe idea, given how much we humans love to be on our phones.

While tracking is super important for those who have a regular income, it’s even more important if you have an irregular income. As mentioned above, the recommendation is to plan around the lowest amount of money you make. If you happen to earn more in any given month, adjust the number and your current money goals. This way, you can cover some extras in your budget.

Tracking also applies to the money you spend. Enter every single transaction, then do that math. Whether your expenditure is coming from your bank account or piggy bank, keeping up-to-date on outflow is key to not overspending.

Create a Regular Rhythm for Tracking

This cadence is totally up to you and what works best for your life. It might be daily or weekly – or before you leave the gas station or grocery store. When you enter the amount of what you spent right after you do it, chances are you won’t forget about it. (Nod to the budget app!) If you’re married and/or have a partner, having a central location for money management increases communication and accountability. Neither one of you can say, “Oh, I didn’t know you were going to spend all our fun money on pickleball lessons. I wanted to sign us up for bridge at the community center.”

Having a handle on monthly expenses (tracking them) means being more aware of what’s going on, avoiding surprises, and being in control. And that’s a good thing for everyone.

Sources

How Long Does it Take to Build a Habit?

How to Track Your Monthly Expenses – Ramsey

Why Your Business Needs a Vertical AI Agent: Top Benefits for Niche Markets

Why Your Business Needs a Vertical AI AgentThe rise of artificial intelligence (AI) is continuously transforming how businesses operate, offering opportunities for efficiency, innovation, and growth. However, in an increasingly competitive landscape, businesses seek solutions tailored to their specific industries. To meet this demand for more tailored tools, vertical AI agents are emerging as key to staying ahead in the age of specialization.

What are Vertical AI Agents?

Vertical AI agents are designed to solve specific problems within industries in areas such as finance, retail, and healthcare. This differs from horizontal AI, which provides general capabilities across various sectors. Horizontal AI cross-functional applications such as marketing automation are applicable across different sectors. These horizontal AI solutions were witnessed in the early days of AI, when companies like Google, Microsoft, and Amazon created broad AI solutions. These solutions handle multiple tasks but are not optimized for any specific ones.

Vertical AI has been enabled by advancements in Large Language Models (LLMs), which now possess the capability to process complex, industry-specific data and automate complex tasks. These breakthroughs and the inefficiencies of outdated technologies in many industries have created a demand for specialized solutions. Additionally, some platforms simplify the creation and deployment of vertical AI by providing data management and customization tools. At the same time, businesses increasingly recognize AI’s potential to drive efficiency and competitive advantage.

Vertical AI agents are emerging as the next disruption in tech and are anticipated to dominate in 2025. With its market valued at $5.1 billion in 2024, the figures are projected to rise to $47.1 billion by 2030.

Some areas where vertical AI agents are used include finance to enhance risk assessment models and provide insights into market trends and investment opportunities.

Banking institutions are also deploying vertical AI agents to detect fraud in real-time and reduce manual intervention.

In retail verticals, AI agents help personalize product suggestions for customers.

It is important to note that the success of vertical AI precision depends on its ability to solve clear and specific problems. It leverages industry-specific data and domain expertise to deliver solutions that have better precision than general AI systems.

As such, some companies have begun building their own AI tools by using their datasets to create tailored solutions for their specific industry challenges.

Key Benefits of Vertical AI Agents for Niche Markets

  1. Increased operational efficiency – Frees human resources by automating complex and repetitive tasks to increase productivity. Employees have more time to focus on tasks that require creativity, strategy, or problem-solving.
  2. Enhanced accuracy and decision-making – Vertical AI agents are trained on vast amounts of industry-specific data. As a result, they deliver more accurate and consistent results. This reduces human error, which may have dire consequences in critical high-stakes fields such as healthcare and finance.
  3. Cost saving – automating tasks traditionally performed by large teams helps reduce costs. It lowers payroll expenses and minimizes operational costs. This enables companies to reallocate resources to innovation and growth rather than to routine tasks.
  4. Unlock new markets – traditional software solutions may struggle to penetrate niche markets. This is because of their complexity or unstructured data requirements. However, vertical AI agents handle these challenges effectively, opening up new revenue opportunities in previously underserved segments.
  5. Improved customer experience – vertical AI agents enhance customer interaction since they can provide personalized service and faster response time.
  6. Competitive advantage – businesses leveraging vertical AI agents have a significant competitive edge over competitors relying on generalized solutions.
  7. Driving innovation – vertical AI agents streamline operations and offer data-driven recommendations. This enables businesses to experiment and develop cutting-edge products and services. Ultimately, a business can maintain a competitive edge in niche markets.

Challenges and Considerations

Vertical AI agents have compelling benefits but also come with some challenges. A business must navigate the potential challenges during implementation. This includes integration with existing systems, data privacy concerns, employee resistance, and the need for ongoing human oversight. The good news is that with careful planning and a strategic approach, it is easy to overcome these challenges and fully realize the benefits of vertical AI.

Closing Thoughts

Automation has become a critical tool for businesses that want to remain competitive. As the demand for smarter and more efficient operations rises, vertical AI agents are emerging as a solution. These advanced AI solutions deliver targeted results by focusing on niche applications. As AI continues to advance, vertical AI agents will become more efficient and accessible, integrating with broader systems.